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Experts assessed the chances of avoiding catastrophic climate change


LONDON, 14 Sep. The world will face serious and life-changing climate impacts in 2040-2050 and beyond unless greenhouse gas emissions are dramatically reduced by 2030, according to a report from the UK's Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House). heads of government and ministers ahead of the UN Climate Change Conference in Glasgow in November (COP26). “By the 2030s, extreme temperatures will mean more than 400 million people a year are likely to be unable to work outdoors, and 10 million per year is likely to die on the street. By 2050, more than 70% of people in every region of the world are likely to experience extreme heat waves each year. » 30% by 2050, while taking into account population growth, 50% more food will be required. At the same time, the likelihood of a crop loss of 10% or more by the 2040s in the top four corn producing countries (the United States, China, Brazil and Argentina) will increase to 40-70%. According to the report, by 2040, almost 700 million people may suffer from periods of drought of at least six months each year. Russia prepares for climate change Experts add that by 2100, nearly 200 million people worldwide are likely to live below 100-year flooding levels (at which water begins to overflow into the surrounding area) and nearly 60 million people could suffer from floods every year. They explain that a rise in the relative sea level of just 1 meter increases the likelihood of such floods 40 times for Shanghai, 200 times for New York and 1000 times for Kolkata. major emission sources, extreme temperatures, sharp declines in crop yields and prolonged severe droughts are likely to result in millions of additional deaths over the next decade, «said Daniel Quiggin, Senior Scientist for Environment and Society at Chatham House and author of the report. by Chatham House experts shows that the commitments made by governments at the UN climate change meeting in Paris in 2015 — which should be updated for the Glasgow meeting in November — give the world less than a 5% chance of keeping warming below 2 degrees and less than 1% chance of keeping it below 1.5 degrees, which was identified as a goal to prevent and the worst impacts of climate change. «The current pace of global decarbonization efforts is putting the world on a warming path of at least 2.7 degrees by the end of the century, and assumes a 10 percent chance of a warming of 3.5 degrees. New proposals by some governments to further reduce emissions («nationally determined contribution») fall short of what is required to keep warming below the safe threshold of 1.5 degrees, while several large economies have yet to meet further emission reduction targets «- said Quiggin. COP26 will take place in November in Glasgow, Scotland. Representatives from about 200 countries are expected to attend, including world leaders, experts and activists. The meeting of world leaders in Glasgow is scheduled for November 1-2, and in total The summit will last for two weeks and will include a number of documents on reducing greenhouse emissions and achieving carbon neutrality. Scientists have warned of a serious deterioration in the climate

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