GENERICO.ruEconomicsThe dollar will fall: a fresh forecast from analysts

The dollar will fall: a fresh forecast from analysts

The dollar exchange rate against the hryvnia has moderately depreciated.

Over the next week depreciation of the dollar against the hryvnia is expected. The dollar on the interbank market will be traded in a week near UAH 26.95. The cash dollar in banks will be traded at UAH 26.9/27.1, reports with reference to RBC-Ukraine.

As the analyst noted, over the past week the dollar rate against the hryvnia has moderately decreased in all segments of the foreign exchange market by 0.05-0.7%.

Since last Friday, the official US dollar exchange rate set by the NBU has decreased from UAH 27.23 to UAH 27.22 (-0.05 %). The demand/supply of the dollar on the interbank market, according to the company & # 171; UkrDilling & # 187;, during the same time decreased from 27.25/27.27 to 27.07/27.09 (-0.7%). p>

Average buying/selling rates of cash dollars in banks for the week decreased from 27.19/27.40 to 27.04/27.24 (-0.5%/- 0.6%). At the same time, the spread between the average purchase and the average sale decreased from 0.8% to 0.7% due to a faster decline in the selling rate compared to the purchase.

The analyst recalled that on Thursday the NBU increased the discount rate by 0.5 p.p. up to 9%. This decision of the regulator is aimed at leveling the impact of additional pro-inflationary risks, improving inflation expectations and ensuring a stable decrease in inflation towards the goals of the National Bank of 5%.

Note that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has updated the forecast for the hryvnia to the dollar for until 2026. According to IMF calculations, the average annual exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar in 2021 will be & # 8212; 27.32 UAH/dollar.


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