Provided that “leaking US classified documents” is not deliberate US misinformation
“Such leaks cause great skepticism and doubts in terms of their reliability and in terms of whether how plausible they are, whether they are orchestrated and whether they are a disinformation campaign, ”this is how Fyodor Voitolovsky, director of the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences, commented in an interview with RIA Novosti about the “secret files of the Pentagon,” which the world media have been sucking up for days on end .
Until recently, it seemed that there was no really serious point in this occupation: the fact that the command and control system of official Kiev is very tightly supervised from Washington has been convincingly proven no less than a hundred times. But suddenly, in the “secret files”, that grain of information (or misinformation) was discovered that changed everything and made absolutely key those doubts that were so clearly formulated by Fyodor Voitolovsky.
I quote The New York Times: “During for more than a year, Ukrainian air defense, reinforced by Western weapons, held back Russian aircraft. But without a huge influx of munitions, Ukraine's entire air defense network, weakened by repeated strafing of Russian drones and missiles, could fall apart, according to US officials and recently leaked Pentagon documents.
This would potentially allow Russian President Vladimir V. Putin to use his deadly fighter jets in a way that could change the course of the conflict.”
Intriguing, isn't it? And even more intriguing are the dates given in the “leaked American secret documents.”
To quote again the flagship of American journalism: “Stocks of missiles for Soviet-era S-300 and Buk air defense systems, which make up 89 percent of Ukraine’s defense against most fighters and some bombers, are predicted to be completely exhausted by mid-April or by May 3 .. .
The same document estimated that the Ukrainian air defense, designed to protect troops on the front line, where most of the Russian aviation is concentrated, will be “completely disabled” by May 23, which will increase pressure to air defense in the depths of Ukrainian territory.”
I don’t want to look like a “couch military strategist”, but if all (or at least part) of the above is true, then this is extremely important.
Describing the current stage of the conflict in Ukraine, English-speaking experts are increasingly using the word stalemate — stagnation , stalemate situation. Of course, what is happening in the Artemovsk (or Bakhmut) area can be called anything, but not stagnation. But the general state of affairs in the NWO zone has not changed for a long time.
Both sides of the conflict are building up strength, preparing to starve each other out. Or maybe the purpose of this accumulation of forces is to strike the enemy with a powerful blow at an unexpected moment and in an unexpected place. If what is written in the “leaks” cited above is true, then it turns out that the Russian strategy of wearing down the opponent with the help of frequent missile strikes is bearing fruit and may soon lead to the disappearance of that very “stalemate”: as early as April or May.
However, I am forced to repeat the same question again: is what is written there true? The answer, I suspect, will only come from experience. In the meantime, the individual elements of the puzzle that we have at our disposal refuse to fit into one big, neat, slender and logical puzzle. They refuse and will refuse for quite a long time. There is already a confrontation between Russia and the West on too many «geopolitical chessboards».
Here, for example, is the message from the official Belarusian news agency BELTA about Alexander Lukashenko's statement at a meeting with Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu in Minsk.
“Somewhere after 1994, the famous Budapest Memorandum, where all Western powers and Russia swore to provide complete security to Kazakhstan, Ukraine and Belarus. Naturally, you know that the Western states have trampled on all these treaties, agreements and statements, and there is no security whatsoever. This meant economic security as well.
Well, what kind of economic security if they impose sanctions against us, Russia?! the Belarusian leader noted. — Therefore, I raised this issue in negotiations with the President of Russia. He was absolutely supportive in every way. And, he says, we need to revise all our treaties and agreements — Belarus and Russia — to see what normative legal act of an interstate nature should be adopted now in order to ensure the complete security of Belarus.
negotiations so that in case of aggression against Belarus, the Russian Federation defends Belarus as its own territory. These are the kind of (guarantees. — ) security we need.”
A logical and expected statement of the question. If Russia deploys its nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus, it is simply obliged to ensure the security of this neighbor. But what kind of threat does Alexander Lukashenko expect from? Is it about something hypothetical and abstract, or, on the contrary, about something quite concrete and urgent? The answers to these questions are still behind the scenes — in the same place as the answers to questions about the authenticity of the «Pentagon secret files».