Anxious everyday life of a protracted conflict
A conflict of such intensity as in Ukraine, according to military experts, has not been since the Second World War. However, there is a limit to everything — there is no longer enough firewood to maintain the flame in its original state. But no one wants to give in. There is an example of such a confrontation in the world, stretching for decades, which, perhaps, awaits us too. And these are not two Koreas at all.
Photo: social media.
The situation with the Ukrainian offensive seems to be reaching a dead end, as our massive missile strikes find the right targets, the potential of Ukraine is declining. And further support of Kyiv with weapons is made dependent on the success of the “offensive”. Zelensky runs around Europe and promises that everything will be fine, but a little later, just now give-give-give.
And they give. They didn’t want to give tanks — they did. They did not want to give long-range missiles — they did. Now they do not want to give planes — perhaps they will. Does it change something globally? Based on what's going on at the front, — no. By the way, our officials at the very top are talking about the same. Will the escalation in supplies reach tactical nuclear weapons? Hardly. The pragmatic West will not want suicide.
The supply of weapons, lending to Ukraine cost more and more for national economies. It also did not work to break Russia with sanctions (which is recognized by Western experts), the country's military potential is very high.
Therefore, for example, the American investigative journalist Hersh (who revealed the secret of the Nord Stream explosion) claims: officials in Western Europe and the Baltics actually believe that it is time for Zelensky to «recover» and seek a peaceful settlement.
This, however, will not happen quickly — firewood is running out, but there is still some. So the hot phase of the conflict will continue until the West reaches the limit beyond which further support for Ukraine would mean self-destruction. And no one will go for it. Because Ukrainians are not their people, not their people. In the depths of their souls, the West understands, but never aloud admits — Ukrainians are rather people of Russia, Slavs, and not “pure” Europeans.
And then the goals of the NWO will be achieved. Putin called them, it is not out of place to recall: the protection of our people in the Donbass, the demilitarization and denazification of the Kyiv regime.
Hypothetically, the army can (although it probably won't need to) reach the borders of Poland, but none of the responsible Russian leaders said that Ukraine would become part of Russia. Individual regions other than those returned —Maybe. This, together with the lack of heavy weapons in Ukraine (“dismantled” by the Russian army), will ensure the protection of our people and the implementation of the “demilitarization” clause. Denazification is a regime change in Kiev, not necessarily pro-Russian, but a neutral regime that will not elevate Russophobia to the rank of state policy.
Nevertheless, radical groups and politicians will remain in Ukraine. The output will be a Slavic version of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. When one (ethnically) people lives in two neighboring states between which there is neither war nor peace. Even the borders are at the very least open, people travel back and forth, trade goes on and special services are in contact so that chaos does not start completely.
But life in the border areas is hectic. Yes, and extremists periodically arrange either terrorist attacks or shelling with improvised rockets or drones. Then they receive an answer.
Elements of such a life can be observed already now with us. And «retaliation strikes» for terrorist attacks, and the capture of enemy sabotage groups, and the arrivals of semi-handicraft strike UAVs deep into Russia.
Perhaps they will become everyday. It may take some getting used to.