Financial analyst Andriyevskaya reported the risk of revising the retirement age due to declining birth rates
In Russia, conditions remain for further raising the retirement age, experts say. As financial analyst Irina Andrievskaya told Ura.ru, another increase in the retirement age may await the country in the future.
According to her, a prerequisite for the growth of the retirement age is demographic problems — the aging of the population against the backdrop of a declining birth rate. She cited UN data, according to which in 2020 18.8% of citizens over 60 lived in the Russian Federation, and by 2050 the figure may exceed 37%. According to the UN scale of demographic aging, a society is considered old if the number of elderly people exceeds 7%, Andriyevskaya noted.
The expert explained that there should be several times more able-bodied working citizens making contributions to the Pension Fund than non-working people receiving pensions . According to the average estimates of economists, there should be at least three working citizens for every two pensioners.
Andriyevskaya believes that another increase in the retirement age is possible in Russia in the future. Thus, the average life expectancy in the country — according to official data from Rosstat — is growing. At the same time, the birth rate is declining, so in the near future there will be fewer working young people, and more elderly pensioners. As a result, the amount of social contributions by employers will decrease, the cost of paying pensions will grow.
«This may affect the next revision of the retirement age,» the expert concluded.