Wren told why Kiev needs “meat assaults”
The scenario of the last attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on our positions before the arrival of the autumn thaw seems to have been put into action. On the night of October 4, the enemy launched an attack in the Zaporozhye direction, provoking hell for himself, according to eyewitnesses. In parallel, the Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to land a sabotage group in Crimea and launched more than 30 attack drones in our direction. It seems that all the signs of well-coordinated offensive actions are present.
However, military expert and former American army officer Stanislav Krapivnik believes that the new “meat assaults” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not related to Zelensky’s ambitious plans to capture Tokmak or Bakhmut by the end of the year. They pursue a completely different goal.
Military analysts predicted the beginning of the final phase of the Ukrainian offensive to capture Bakhmut and Tokmak at the beginning of October. It was assumed that the Armed Forces of Ukraine would again begin to storm the Zaporozhye direction, and before that, as a diversionary maneuver, they would massively attack Crimea and other Russian regions with drones.
On the night of October 4, a similar scenario at the Orekhovsky site began to come true. All night the enemy tried to break through in the direction of Kopan and Verbovoy. Groups of attack aircraft walked in waves, one after another.
“Hell is going on in Rabotino now. An attack was launched on us, on a large scale and in full force, with all types of equipment. Our counter-response is very strong. So it’s hell for both sides,” one of the thematic Telegram channels wrote on night 4.
“Yesterday evening and night turned out to be really hot. The enemy used all available NATO and remnants of Soviet types of ammunition against our positions at intervals of 3-5 minutes. The devils like to use cluster munitions with increased activity. They are trying to seize the initiative,” another source tried to convey the atmosphere on the battlefield.
In the morning it became known that as a result of the fighting, the enemy, as expected, suffered significant losses. There are no exact figures yet, but our soldiers said that they gave the enemy a “good meeting” using artillery and aviation.
Fighting also flared up with renewed vigor at Kleshcheevka and Andreevka in the Artemovsk (Bakhmut) area. The enemy tried to gain a foothold there, but air and artillery strikes prevented him from doing so.
In the Kherson direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have not yet made any attempts to cross the Dnieper, but, nevertheless, they continue shelling the Left Bank and are constantly conducting reconnaissance with copters. So a rush across the Dnieper to the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant is still not ruled out.
As expected, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are using demonstration combined attacks on Crimea as support. First, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that it had stopped a Ukrainian landing on a boat and jet skis at night, and then the FSB showed a video of the detention of one of the saboteurs already on the shore.
In total, 13 saboteurs were killed. They had American M4 assault rifles and fragmentation grenades with them.
Such suicidal one-way sea voyages surprise our border guards. “Every time they load their suicide bombers onto boats, border intelligence knows. There will be no more unexpected walkouts,” said one of the sources.
According to military expert, former American army officer Stanislav Krapivnik, the reason for the renewed assaults by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is not at all an attempt to capture Tokmak, cut the land road to Crimea or go to Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant. It is simply impossible to achieve these goals with the forces remaining in Kyiv.
“The Ukrainian Armed Forces will try to keep the intensity of hostilities high enough so that Russia begins its offensive as late as possible,” Krapivnik told MK. — They will do this at least until the thaw begins. They need to gain time — a couple of months, in extreme cases — a month — to prepare for defense. The goal of all these “meat assaults,” senseless attacks, is to hold Russia in order to have time to prepare its defense.
According to the expert, “senseless attacks” will continue every day, and this despite the extremely poor training of the soldiers.
“There is no point in these attacks, because the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have enough military equipment or experienced soldiers. The quality of the reserves they throw into battle is already low. Fired, experienced personnel make up less than 40% of the Armed Forces of Ukraine; the majority is an unfired, hastily recruited and semi-trained contingent that has never been on the battlefield, and has no skills, moral or physical preparation. They are simply thrown to slaughter. Former British Defense Minister Ben Wallace recently admitted that the average age of privates in the Armed Forces of Ukraine is more than 40 years. This suggests that the troops are gathering the last thing they can find.
— If we are talking about senseless “meat assaults”, then they can last for a long time. Until the last female platoon or squad of youths is thrown into battle. For the Kyiv regime, this is an acceptable development of events, because its people are simply biological material in order to continue to profit from the military conflict. He doesn't think he will follow this.