MOSCOW, August 7. Rising temperatures on Earth will cause serious climate changes on the planet, an international team of scientists reported in an article for the journal Nature Communications.
The study looks at four natural systems that are key to Earth's climate: the Atlantic currents, the Amazon rainforest, and the glaciers of the Arctic and Antarctic. The collapse of even one of these systems as a result of rising global temperatures would trigger a domino effect and a tipping point in the evolution of the planet's climate.
«It has been established that if current climate trends continue this century, the risk of a tipping point will be 45%. <…> The risk will also be «increase for every 0.1°C increase in temperature after the 1.5°C threshold is crossed,» the study says.
The scientists concluded that avoiding a «tipping point» would require achieving and maintaining net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2100.
«Our results highlight that aggressive emissions reductions in the current decade are critical to global security,» the scientists concluded.
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres previously stated that the Earth's temperature could rise by 2.8 degrees by the end of the century if countries do not radicalize their decarbonization strategies. The key agreement in this area is the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, which envisages measures to limit global temperature growth to 1.5 degrees Celsius, with a maximum of 2 degrees by 2100.
As part of the global climate agenda, most countries have adopted programs to achieve carbon neutrality, that is, a balance between anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, and others) and their absorption both through technological solutions (renewable energy sources, transport electrification, CCUS in industry, hydrogen) and through natural ecosystems (primarily forests). Russia plans to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060.