GENERICO.ruВ миреThe expert assessed the risks for the Russian economy due to possible US sanctions

The expert assessed the risks for the Russian economy due to possible US sanctions


MOSCOW, Jan 13 The bill on new US sanctions against Moscow, if implemented, does not carry risks of a sharp deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but some consequences are still possible, in particular in the foreign exchange market, this opinion was expressed to RIA Novosti by the head of the Macroeconomic Analysis and Financial Markets project. Center for Strategic Research Bakhtiyar Jafarov. The bill presented yesterday by US senators from the ruling Democratic Party proposes to impose painful sanctions against key sectors of the Russian economy, the state debt and top officials in the event of an escalation of the situation around Ukraine. Lavrov called the idea of ​​the US Parliament to impose new sanctions as a nervous breakdown. contribute to the strengthening of the ruble in 2022, but geopolitical tensions will most likely prevent this from happening, «Jafarov said. He also drew attention to the fact that the bill focuses on the Nord Stream 2 project. «Certification of the pipeline has already been dragged on, and it has not been possible to withdraw it from the third energy package of the European Union, which will not allow it to be loaded by more than 50% after certification. American sanctions are aimed at complicating this process, however, it is important understand that Germany remains a key stakeholder in this project, especially given the current situation on the European gas market, «the expert believes. Russia will find alternatives in the event of new US sanctions, Ryabkov said According to Jafarov, the draft law also provides for a ban on transactions with Russian government bonds in the secondary market. “The key question is how non-US investors and financial institutions will behave, which are not formally subject to this ban. In the medium and long term, they will also be more careful with the instruments of Russian government debt in their portfolios in order to avoid problems with the American authorities. means that access to Western investors and Western capital markets, including non-American ones, continues to narrow, «he explained. As for the possible disconnection from SWIFT of individual banks or Russia as a whole, this will not lead to a complete halt in the work of Russian credit organizations. «An analogue of such a system already exists for exchanging messages between banks within the country, but interaction with foreign banks can become significantly more complicated,» the expert said. The Hill: US bluffs trying to «intimidate» Russia

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