Electronic scoreboard with dollar signMOSCOW, Feb 1 — PRIME At current oil prices and In the absence of a geopolitical factor, the dollar would cost no more than 70 rubles, Mikhail Kogan, head of the analytical research department at the Higher School of Financial Management, told the Prime agency. According to him, in such a scenario, the ruble would cost 65 per dollar. «This could be seen in October last year, when oil at the moment reached 86 dollars per barrel, and the ruble strengthened above 70 units per dollar — the maximum since July 2020, «Kogan noted. However, if an armed conflict really breaks out, in which Russia will take part,» the collapse of the ruble can happen very quickly, and then even oil quotes will not save the Russian currency, the expert emphasized. Oil quotes, however, are also vulnerable if the sale of state reserves of China and the United States begins, or sanctions are lifted from Iran. «It is also possible There is another option in which OPEC + will start increasing production, raising its monthly increase from 400,000 barrels per day. With the current tension in the geopolitical field, the decline could hit the ruble’s positions hard, fixing the Russian currency in the region of 80 units per dollar and raising it above 90 units per euro,” the agency’s interlocutor admitted. strain of coronavirus.
