US dollars. File photoMOSCOW, May 7.US debt default is likely in both the medium and long term. The first — within 1-2 years, the second — in the context of more than 10 years. The latter option is more likely, but its onset is due to unpredictable events — “black swans”, Oksana Kholodenko, head of the analytics and promotion department at BCS World of Investments, told the Prime agency. She named two options that could lead to a US debt default. In the first case, this is a refusal to increase the national debt limit, in the second — from paying interest on obligations. behind the Ukrainian crisis“About raising the national debt limit, as a rule, there are lengthy debates in Congress. The issue is usually resolved around the deadline. If a positive decision is delayed, a temporary technical procedure for servicing the public debt is launched,” the analyst said. A debt default scenario is possible, but only in theory, she added.
